Wednesday, January 07, 2009
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Four Income Hotspots For a Prosperous New Year
-- By Andy Obermueller

     While most economists agree that the United States will rise out of its recession in the second half of 2009, many of the world's countries aren't in recession at all.  In fact, there are quite a few places where things are outright booming.  Not only did these countries fare better economically in 2008, they're going to post strong growth in 2009 and through 2010 as well.  What's more, stocks in these countries are cheap and, best of all, each of these countries sports a higher-than-average dividend.

     You can have it all; you just need to know where to look to find it.  In today's issue, we'll visit three countries with robust growth, low valuations and above-average dividends -- think of it as the trifecta for 2009. 
(See Below)

Also in Today's Issue...

Don't Invest a Dime in Alternative Energy Without Reading This First

What will be the best investment of 2009? Signs are pointing to alternative energy. But that doesn't mean you should rush out and buy just any company in the industry. Read this article first to find out where the best opportunities lie.

Read the article here

Learn How to Double Your Income and Your Wealth

Start now to live rich, worry-Free life you deserve!

Read how even some of the stodgiest Dividend-Paying Stocks can multiply your income over time.

To learn more click here ...

     Four Income Hotspots For a Prosperous New Year

     Investing in companies that do business in soft economies is like buying a house in a bad neighborhood.  The chances that a company will do well move in tandem with its access to customers, capital and opportunity.  That's found in vibrant economies, not in stagnant ones.  All other things being equal, it's better invest in companies that operate in countries where prosperous people want to live, work and shop -- just like what you'd look for in a good neighborhood.

     That being said, you want to make sure you don't pay too much for the house.  A real estate agent will check prices in the area to get a sense of what a property is worth. Well, investors can do the same thing in the stock market. You can ascertain valuation by looking at the earnings multiple of any country's benchmark average and comparing it to historical averages.  A dollar of net earnings from a U.S. company, for instance, currently costs $16.60, as indicated by the S&P's average P/E of 16.6.  The average P/E on Russia's MICEX is 3.2; a dollar of earnings from a Russian company costs $3.20.  Which is a better deal?  Well, the S&P may be close to being fairly valued, based on its history.  The MICEX, on the other hand, is drastically undervalued compared to its historical valuation, which suggests far greater upside.

     Now, if you were looking at investing in a rental property, you might not really care where it is as long as you earned a strong return.  That's a smart way to look at dividends, too.  If a company has a strong business and a solid financial footing, who cares if it's in Timbuktu -- especially if it's paying 8%... 10%... or more?  Some of the highest dividends in the world can be found in smaller countries tucked away on the far side of the world.

     This means, as with real estate, the three most important things for income investing are location, location and location.  So let's take a look at four locations that offer all three of the characteristics we discussed above: low valuations and strong yields in growing economies.


Czech Republic

    This Eastern European nation of 10 million people is one of the most stable and prosperous in Europe.  It posted +4.2% growth in 2008 and is expected to see +3.0% growth this year and +3.4% next year.  Czech stocks are trading at 6.9 times earnings, -55.2% below its typical valuation of 15.4.  The average dividend yield on the Prague Exchange is a robust 6.6%, miles above the S&P 500, which yields 3.0%.  After only 10 years, Czech stocks will have earned $13,775 more than U.S. stocks for every $25,000 invested -- in dividends alone.    

Taiwan

     This tiny nation continues to benefit from its proximity to China, one of the most booming economies in the world.  Its market lost -42.9% in 2008 as the world sold equities and trampled on Asian issues they thought would be adversely affected by the downturn. Still, Taiwan, with its strong export economy, posted enviable +4.0% growth in 2008 and is on track to grow an average +3.5% in 2009 and 2010.

     Taiwan's stocks are a steal on a valuation basis. They're selling for less than half the S&P 500 at a mere 9.6 times earnings, way beneath the five-year average of 16.7 for the benchmark Taiex. And the average dividend yield for the index is a whopping 8.1%, so you're making good money while you wait to capture huge capital gains. 


South Africa

     South Africa is part of the world that is most often overlooked by investors. Many are familiar with Asia because of the rise of China or with South American because of the emergence of Brazil. But Africa is still largely unknown to investors. 

     That's too bad. South Africa will likely replicate its '08 growth of +3.4% this year and see a +5.3% expansion in 2010. Its average dividend is a respectable 4.4%, and stocks are roughly -32% off their historical valuation of 12.6 times earnings. South Africa is thought of as an emerging market, but with mature banking, energy and legal systems, as well as modern infrastructure, South Africa doesn't seem like a third-world country. Its returns for the foreseeable future will be the envy of most countries in the "developed" world. 

Chile

    The biggest vote of confidence for this country has come from Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT), which recently announced plans to spend $2.8 billion to acquire the thin country's largest grocery store chain. Wal-Mart doesn't do anything that doesn't make the company money. And its due diligence evidently turned up what we found: Namely, Chile is a South American gem that posted +3.9% growth in '08 and will see +2.8% growth this year and +3.8% growth next. There is not a single country is Western Europe that will even come close to that. What's more, Chilean equities are trading for 12.5 times earnings, a fire sale given the nation's average of 20 times earnings. One of the best ways to invest in Chile is in its largest bank, Banco Chile. It's not only yielding more than 12%, but its shares trade on the New York Stock Exchange -- you can buy them under the ticker BCH today, without opening a special international trading account!  

     As always, many happy returns!



 

 -- Andy Obermueller
Co-Editor
Global Dividend Opportunities
GlobalDividends.com
839-K Quince Orchard Blvd. 
Gaithersburg, MD 20878-1614

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Income Notes

Standard & Poor?s cut GE's outlook to "negative" last month because of concerns about GE Capital's "future performance and funding." Both companies have the top "AAA" rating.

GE may have to choose between its "AAA" credit rating or its dividend, said Nicholas Heymann, an analyst with Sterne Agee & Leach. GE chief Jeff Immelt has said the company is committed to its dividend. Shares currently yield 7.4%

-- From Bloomberg reports


With the economic outlook unsettled, some are remaining on the conservative side. Among them: Harris Investment Group's James Cox, who points to high-dividend-paying stocks such as large pharmaceutical companies. Pfizer, for instance, has an indicated dividend yield of 7.2%. Bank stocks are even more generous, with Citigroup and Bank of America offering dividend yields of 9.5% and 9.0%, respectively.

"It's going to be the year of yield," Cox said.

-- The Wall Street Journal


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